AFCS Week 17 game previews – TV areas, stats, injury reports, & passing charts.

AFCS Week 17 game previews

This is it, one last game for the Jaguars to pull off a win, tanking be damned. If you want to know why I abhor tanking, READ HERE. This is also the last ditch effort for our three divisional teams to make the play-offs or move up in seeding. Here’s the AFCS Week 17 game previews – TV areas, stats, injury reports, & passing charts.

jaguars:texans tv viewing area wek 17

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

As usual, here’s the refs which I include because we should keep track of the crap since the NFL doesn’t seem to care.

Referee Crew:

Pete Morelli referee crew

Sad to say, but I won’t miss seeing Leonard Fournette. This season, he’s had two games that were ok, the rest were snoozes. Let’s bring on Dave Williams. It’s good to see DJ Chark back. People hate on Jalen Ramsey, but that dude has played almost the entire season hurt and yet Jax’s secondary is still tops.

Jaguars week 17 friday injury report

Have written before, I don’t trust Bill O’Brian’s injury reports, so just ignore them.

texans week 17 friday injury report

Blake Bortles is baaaack, will he play the entire game is the question? They’re dressing out Tanner Lee, so we can guess they’d like to give him reps and if that happens, assume we’re getting creamed.

I’m posting just the cumulative passing charts because Bortles hadn’t started in a few weeks. Clearly, Deshaun Watson is having a good season even if he’s not among the top passing leaders. He’s judicious with the ball and compliments their run game.

As a slight defense of Borltes, his OL has been atrocious, he didn’t have his number one wide receiver, tight end or running back, plus the OC was fired. Not exactly what is scripted for bringing out the best in QB’s.

A quick recap of the last match-up: Bortles fumbled twice which allowed Houston to get a FG and a TD. Cody Kessler played the second half and lobbed in a TD. Yeldon let a pass bounce off him for an interception.

The Texans had less than 300 total yards, they won from sloppy play by Jax. If the Jags truly want to win, they’ll need their defense to do it for them. To do that, they’ll need to sack Watson more than once. Most importantly, they must play a clean game.

Limit penalties, don’t turn the ball over, create turnovers.

Watson only threw 139 yards that day, I could see that again, but the offense must show up. Houston is ranked 29th vs the pass. They’ve allowed 28 TD’s, but they’ve got 43 sacks and with this OL, it’s tough to see that number not jumping a bunch.

Jacksonville has not been good against the rush, that’s the concern. Even though Houston has DeAndre Hopkins (IMHO the best WR in the NFL this season), the Jags may be best to double him and force Watson to throw everywhere else.

Encourage the pass over the run because it makes their time of possession smaller which will be critical for the Jacksonville offense. One, they’re terribly inefficient and will need more chances to score and two, passing keeps our defense fresher.

Houston’s run game is mid pack as well as their passing, but as everyone knows, stats only tell half the story. How and when you get your yards and scoring is what matters. The Jaguars need to have the Texans pass between the 30’s and run in the red zone. With only ten rushing TD’s this is where they are vulnerable.

As far as Houston, all they need to do is play their defense because the Jag’s offense is putrid. The offensive line is a mess, the tight ends are non-existent, Dede Westbrook is the only receiver (although with DJ Chark back, he could help) and with them down to Yeldon and Williams, who knows what the run game looks like?

The keys are:

Jax: Play smart. Sack Watson. Make him throw to anyone, but Hopkins.

Houston: Show up.

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

Referee Crew:

walt anderson referee crew

Marcus Mariota won’t be playing. Not that he’s had a good year (he hasn’t), but he’s been able to run to keep drives going, plus he’s much better than Blaine Gabbert at reading defenses.

With the Colts being in bad shape health-wise, they need a break and not having to spy on Mariota is that chance – not that Gabbert won’t run, but he’s not a dual-threat.

colts week 17 friday injury reporttitans week 17 friday injury report

There isn’t a cumulative chart for Gabbert, but his stats are: 7 games, 3 TDS, 2 INTS, on 72  attempts. His rating is 80.8 with a 59.7 completion rate. He’s tried to run 6 times, but has zero yards. His most attempts is 22 and most yards is 118.

The Colts won’t have to worry abut Gabbert tearing them up with his legs or arm. Their concern will be stopping the run and having enough offensive weapons to overcome the Titans 7th ranked defense.

Luck has used tight ends like a magician, it’s an area Tennessee has struggled against (as has most defenses), so while Eric Ebron and Ryan Hewitt are beat-up, he does have Mo Allie-Cox.

What’s of concern is their secondary, but with Gabbert playing, it may be a wash. Inman and Hilton also being hobbled is a huge concern. The Titans are third against the pass, not the best time to have hobbled tight ends and wide receivers.

Marlon Mack will most likely be the cog for Indy today. Tennessee is third vs rushing TD’s, but mid-pack elsewhere. If Indy can rely on him to carry the load between the 30’s and use Luck in the red zone, they could do ok.

Obviously, this will be a run and defense day, not only because of injuries, but the game is outside. The Colts are really good at limiting rushing yards, but only so-so in stopping scores. Against the pass, they’re only two TD’s behind the Titans and with Gabbert at the helm, that shouldn’t change.

These two teams are so close in what you see and get. They’re built differently, but they find ways to win. How injured Indianapolis really is, will be the difference. If it’s just normal bumps and bruises, they should win with Mack and Luck leading the way and just enough defense to stop Tennessee.

If the Colts are as bruised as their injury reports suggests and the Titans can get to Luck, it will be a long day. Both teams have 38 sacks which could be a big key for both teams. If Indy can get to Gabbert, game over, he’s not the calmest guy under pressure.

Andrew Luck is getting rid of the ball much faster this season, which has helped his great OL keep him at a league low of 17 sacks (wow). That will be the Titan’s task: sack Luck or at least cover his receivers long enough he has to hold on to the ball.

The keys:

Indy: Protect Luck. Rush Gabbert. Stop the run.

Tennessee: Derrick Henry must ball out. Sack Luck. Stop Mack.

This concludes the AFCS Week 17 game previews. Hope everyone has a good New Year’s, and none of our hated rivals get a play off win.

As always, GO JAGS!

AFCS Week 17 Friday Injury Report/Game Status

AFCS Week 17 Friday injury report for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans

This is it, the final injury report for the 2019 season. I won’t be doing an injury report for whichever team in our division makes the Play-offs. I hope that team (Colts) is one and done. Read below for the AFCS Week 17 Friday Injury Report/Game Status for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans.

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

Remember Tanner Lee? I didn’t. He’ll be Blake Bortles’ back-up and I’d guess he will see playing time. It would be dumb not to since they should evaluate what he’s got before they head into next season.

How do you get injured on a final walkthrough of the season? Carlos Hyde, DJ Hayden and Jalen Ramsey must be rolling their eyes. Are we supposed to believe they’re injured? Or an excuse to only play them a little to make sure they don’t get hurt going into 2019?

On the Texans side, what a crock.

Jaguars week 17 friday injury reporttexans week 17 friday injury report

They should cream us, but would be dope to be the spoiler. Screw draft order, if your entire team revolves around being up five spots, you’re not very good in drafting and coaching.

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

I’d like the Colts to thump the Texans. When Peyton Manning was there, it was tough to hate Indy because it was him and not some no-name guy that creamed us every year. Houston and Tennessee is another story, they both need to lose and go home crying.

Yes the Colts look like half a team, but Tennessee has half of Marcus Mariota. That should even things somewhat. It’s Andrew Luck being down weapons and their almost entire secondary on this list that is the, oh crap. At least none of the DL is on here because it’s tough to see the Titans throwing a lot.

colts week 17 friday injury reporttitans week 17 friday injury report

That’s all folks, see you in August, happy new year and may it bring the Jags circa 2017.

AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report

AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report

Everyone, but the Jaguars, are still in the play off hunt and so their injury reports matter – for the Jags, seems like 1/2 their team is on IR. This AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report is short and sweet.

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

It doesn’t matter Fournette is on here, again. I wouldn’t play him even if healthy. The dude needs to be shut down, rolled in bubble wrap and put away until a regular season game we need him. I’m glad to see DJ Chark is healthy.

jaguars week 17 injury repoert

Texans looking a little road weary. but it hasn’t seem to hurt them much because their Injured Reserves list is short.

texans week 17 thursday injury report

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

Colts list has grown again after shrinking little. Their team may struggle looking like this especially with their offensive weapons and the secondary.

colts week 17 thursday injury report

Flipping the Titans off, way too healthy; however, I’m thinking having a qb say he couldn’t feel half is a body is’t a good thing.

titans week 17 thursday injury report

 

That’s it for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans – AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report.

AFCS Week 16 Game Previews – TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports

AFCS Week 16 Game Previews - TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports

As we enter week 16, three teams in our division has something to play for, and the Jaguars do not. However, the cards need to fall exactly right for the Titans and Colts to have a shot at a Wild Card. Take a gander at the AFCS Week 16 Game Previews – TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports.

All Saturday games will be nationally broadcast as will the Sunday 4:00 and night game, and Monday’s, too.

Here is FOX’s 1:00 games

NFL week 16 TV viewing map FOXNFL week 16 viewing map CBS

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

I put ref crews each week because this season has seen some really crappy reffing and you may not think much this week, but you can come back here and see who officiated for future reference.

Referee Crew:

john hussey referree crew

The Redskins are a game back from the Cowboys, but with their beat-up team and QB situation, tough to see them winning this game or the next.

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORTTITANS week 16 friday injury report

Look at these charts and one has to wonder, how long do the Titans accept that Marcus Mariota is always hurt and while he has moments of good quarterbacking, he’s 20th in total QBR with a 54 which is just barely above average (75 is pro bowl caliber) and that is a trend. His rating is 91.9.

Josh Johnson hasn’t had enough games to get a QBR (it bases its scores on each play by difficulty, right decision, was the receiver wrong, etc and takes into account garbage time). However, just based on his straight passing stats, he’s 98.2. Against Jax he was very careful with the ball and I see that continuing vs TN.

josh johnson passing chartsmarcus mariota passing charts

This game will be won from the legs of their running backs. Tennessee’s defense is tied for third with 8 in allowed rushing touchdowns. That puts Washington at a huge disadvantage right from the jump. Washington is 13th with 11.

When it comes to passing TD’s allowed, the Titans are third again with 17. The skins are 15th with 23. Clearly one defense is better.

Tennessee is 30th in passing yards and TD’s, so that’s the one area Washington has a chance. Keep the injured Mariota throwing. Yes, let him throw; however, rush him up the middle when he does.

Johnson is such a new face so late in the season, I’ve no idea what he can do and that could help them win. It’s a slim chance, but if the skins can keep the run game down, they have a good chance at winning. If they can’t, it won’t be close.

It’s important to know that only recently has Tennessee got their running going, two games with Derrick Henry balling out has pushed their numbers up. Stop Henry, stop the Titans. Washington’s run game is ok, nothing to write home about, but if Johnson can be efficient, the two together could work.

While the pundits think this is a slam dunk game, I’m not so sure just because Tennessee is so one-dimensional on offense, hence their record. If the Redkins can pull it off, it wouldn’t be shocking.

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

There’s something that seems to happen to referees when they officiate IN Jacksonville, they turn into brain dead zombies. Most teams get a home field advantage with refs (I did an article once tracking flags/yards and it’s clear home teams have less), but that’s not the case for the Jaguars.

Based on that, we could see a “fair” game. I didn’t see Martin reffing a game for the AFCS this season, so no idea how he did, not that it matters, now.

Referee Crew:

Clay Martin referee crew.png

Ryan Tannehill is hurt, again. I could see Calais Campbell sacking him and Asweiler ends up playing. If that’s the case, I’ll bet six Christmas cookies he throws a pick. That man thinks he has an arm of the gods and Jacksonville’s secondary isn’t the team to play  like that against.

Jaguars week 16 friday injury reportdolphins week 16 friday injury report

Here’s the deal. Tannehill looked good vs NE* because their secondary isn’t very good and their linebackers are slow. His QBR (not Rating) is actually lower than Bortles and that’s saying something. Ryan is 31st. Only Josh Rosen is worse.

I’m not going to post passing charts because there’s not enough on Cody Kessler and Tannehill has been hurt all season, plus he missed games. What we do know is Kessler has thrown one TD in three games and Tannehill has thrown 16.

Adam Gase loves the passing game, so Ramsey and Co better be on their toes. However, stopping Kenyon Drake and Kalen Ballage is the real trial and based on how Jax has done vs the run, I’m not shaking any pom poms.

The key to this game is Jax’s defense because that seems to be the only way get points. Miami has something to play for, the Jaguars don’t and sad to say, that matters. However, there are several players who need a good game for a chance to stick around.

The flip side is, Marrone is now heavily playing all the young (and cheap) players to get evaluations for next season. These young bucks will play hard, but they will make mistakes. We saw it vs Washington.

Could Jacksonville play spoiler vs Miami? Yes, Dave Williams could bust out and the Dolphins don’t have an answer, their defense isn’t great (as in, sucks). Just because they beat Brady* (who’s not Brady* anymore), doesn’t mean that defense can stop lowly Jacksonville.

If Williams can get a run game going and the receivers remember how to catch, the Jaguars can win. I didn’t say Leonard Fournette because if I was Doug Marrone, I’d shut him down for the season. Why take a chance he gets hurt?

The only thing holding them back is themselves. Period. Seriously, they have the better defense by far which should keep Miami from scoring a lot. Add Miami being poor on defense, the answer is the run game for Jax.

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

This makes me kind of sick to say, but I’m pulling for the Colts, any teams to stop NE* from having home field berthing.

Referee Crew:

brad allen ref crew

Giants are really healthy, and the Colts are still banged up, but it hasn’t seemed to stop them.

GIANTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

COLTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Eli Manning with Odell Beckham and without is stark. Not even Saquon Barkley can save him. These passing charts show that New York’s defense, which is ranked 4th best in passing TD’s, will be a busy bunch.

Indy is right behind them with only one more allowed touchdown. Advantage Colts because I don’t see their secondary being afraid of Eli.

Andrew Luck passing chartseli manning passing charts

Eli is careful with the ball and his numbers aren’t bad at all, until you look at how few times he’s scored. Right now, he’s the guy who does well between the 30’s, but too often peters out in the red zone.

Andrew Luck has 14 more TDs. The chart above isn’t current, Luck has 34 TD’s now and Manning, 20.

Indy has 9 rushing touchdowns and New York has 10, so not as if we’ll see much of a ground and pound game especially since it’s in a dome. However, Darius Leonard is out and that could help NY in the center of the field, plus two safeties are hobbled which should help Manning.

However, this contest is still the Colts’ to lose. They have the better passing game by far, their defenses are about equal in passing and both have similar offensive rushing. In outdoors games I go with best defense and run game (at this time year), but passing rules inside.

Overall, Indy is 11th in allowing points and NY is 22. There’s just no area when you can say the Giants have an advantage, unless the Colts have a bad day. OR Indy loses another offensive lineman, they’re the key to Luck having a great season, with Cosonzo out, that could be an issue.

Home team.

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

Both are fighting for different reasons. Houston wants a first round bye and Eagles want to win their division.

Referee Crew:

john parry referree crew

Carson Wentz is a better QB than Nick Foles, even banged up; however, a healthy Foles can do things a hurt Wentz can’t. Right now, Foles has the hot hand, so it’s good they ruled Carson, out. Both teams are beat up, neither has an advantage, here.

TEXANS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORTEAGLES WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Neither QB is lighting the world on fire, but both have a knack of getting their teams in good positions with the right throws, at the right times.

Nick Foles passing chartdeshaun watson passing charts

As you can see, Houston has a weapon Philly doesn’t and that’s a mobile QB who will tear you up when you’re not expecting it.

I’m not going to use the Eagles passing stats because with two QB’s, it’s too tough, but will use Houston’s and both defenses.

When it comes to defense, Houston is 4th in stopping total yards, 5th in points allowed, and third in not allowing rushing touchdowns. They do struggle against the pass, they’ve allowed 24 air TD’s.

For the Eagles, they’re 18th in allowing rushing TD’s, 10th in air touchdowns and 27th overall in allowing yards. They’re giving up 22 points a game.

Neither team is great in sacks or interceptions; however Philly is tied for 10th in INTs.

Where the Eagles have an advantage is their run game, they have 12 TD’s to Houston’s 8. Strange, but true. It’s going to be cold and in a hostile environment which means this game will come down to defense and rushing.

When boiled down to that, it’s almost a wash. However, Foles has been practicing in this weather while Watson is a dome guy and that could help Philly on the passing side. I don’t see an easy game for either team, it could end up being a real slugfest.

Philly could pull off a win because I think the weather may take away the passing advantage for Houston, plus their rush defense isn’t great.

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE, see ya next week.

AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses.

AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses

I’d like to say oh, look, the Dolphins are really banged up and we’re not, but the truth is, half our starters are on injured reserve while Miami is still fighting for a play-off chance. As far as the rest of the AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses, not a lot of changes.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

The Redskins are a hurt bunch, the Titans aren’t in great shape, either, but it shouldn’t matter.

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORTTITANS week 16 friday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

The gave ups vs the mediocre. Tannehill was still limited so there’s a chance Brock Osweiler could play towards the end.

Jaguars week 16 friday injury reportdolphins week 16 friday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

GIANTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

COLTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

Not great for either team.

TEXANS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORTEAGLES WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE, see ya next week.

AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

Unlike what the Jaguars did, the Titans should be able to handle this decimated Redskin team which looks ever worse today than yesterday. The Dolphins got a tab bit healthier, see the AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORT

TITANS week 16 friday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

This will basically be a scrimmage for Jacksonville and an evaluation for next season.

Jaguars week 16 thursday injury reportdolphins week 16 thursday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

giants week 16 thursday injury report

colts week 16 thursday injury report.png

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

texans week 16 thursday injury reporteagles week 16 thursday injury report

Come back tomorrow for the final injury reports.

AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report

AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report

This week’s injury report (and week 17 ) for teams out of the play off hunt, is not exactly a good reflection on the health status of the teams. Most franchises put slightly hurt guys on IR to open a spot up for a third string or practice spot guy and to save money. (Jules will explain more in her game previews). AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report.

The Jaguars injury report looks small compared to all season, but that’s because there’s very few left to play and players elevated who have barely or never played; therefore, are injury free.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

redskins week 16 wednesday injury reporttitans week 16 wednesday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

This will basically be a scrimmage for Jacksonville and an evaluation or next season.

Screen Shot 2018-12-19 at 8.35.58 PM

dolphins week 16 wednesday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

giants week 16 wednesday injury reportcolts week 16 wednesday injury report

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

eagles week 16 wednesday injury reporttexans week 16 wednesday injury report

AFCS Week 11 Thursday Injury Report

AFCS Week 11 Thursday Injury Report

Today didn’t see any big names added to the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tennessee Titans, and Washington Redskins AFCS Week 11 Thursday Injury Report. However, Jacksonville did have one that should cause some concern.

Titans (5-4) vs Colts (4-5) 1:00 CBS

This is a game the Colts need to win for the Jaguars because it would tie these two teams up and Titans need a division loss. Taylor is still dealing with turf toe and Conklin remains under the concussion protocol. They look pretty healthy which isn’t great for Indy.

Thursday showed to be a good day for Tennessee as three players moved up in their status.

The same can be said for the Colts, but for some it was more about Wednesday’s day of rest, and a return to normal.

Texans (6-3) vs Redskins (6-3)  1:00 CBS

This game will have the rest of the AFCS in agreement: the Texans must lose even though they’d still be in first due to division wins because it has another cache to defeat them.

Another team that has halved its report is the Texans, it’s not coincidence both are winning. One addition as Whitney Mercilus, the severity of the ankle may or may not matter depending on the diagnosis.

The good news for Washington is AP moved back to full, but at his age, how much is left in the tank? And who lands on the report? Perine, so running the ball effectively could be an issue.

Steelers (6-2-1) vs Jaguars (3-6) 1:00 CBS

This game is a must-win to coin a cliche. Period. If they want any chance, they’ve got to win.

The Steelers look so damn healthy it’s disgusting.

The Jaguars continued their dance steps of moving front and back. Jags got two back to full, but the last thing they needed was adding Cann. The OL is its own injury report and that’s the worst news of all, hamstrings inhibit power needed to hold off a 300 pound guy intent on sacking Bortles.

AFCS Week 8 Game Previews – stats, referee crews, passing charts, injury reports

AFCS Week 8 Game Previews

Both the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts have bye weeks, so this preview is only the Texans and Titans. Unfortunately for the Jags, based on stats and watching the two teams, it looks like the Texans will win in this AFCS Week 8 Game Preview.

Texans (5-3) vs Broncos (3-5) CBS

Referee Crew

Texans week 9 ref crew

The Texans are still beat-up, but somehow still find ways to win. Clowney has been on a tear lately, so his injury hurts. Pun intended.

The Broncos have a couple of key injuries that Watson should be able to use and tear the Broncos up.

The Broncos operate efficiently off their run game and while Lindsey has been their bell cow, Freeman hasn’t been a schlub, but add him with a banged up Janovich and more just got dumped on Case Keenum.

That’s a bad thing if you know stats and his is ranked 29th for TD-INT ratio. The last thing Denver needs is more throwing from their $25M man. In addition, they’re down a starting and back-up CB and their starting SS.

For the Texans, their secondary is also banged up, but Keenum shouldn’t strike fear, he’s thrown an INT in every game he’s played, ranking him dead last in that dubious category.

Denver is third in rushing, Houston 5th; however, the Broncos have 9 rushing TD’s compared to the Texans’ 4. That’s the ball game right there. Keep them out of the red zone where they score and game over.

Houston is 15-7 in TD-INT, so Denver’s secondary is going to have a long day. Strangely, the Texans’ defense is the exact same. They’ve allowed 15 passing TD’s and intercepted 7.

Bottom line, this is a bad match-up for the Broncos because Houston has only allowed two rushing TD’s, the very motor Denver must have to win. In fact, their OC this week said he wants to run the ball even more.

In addition, Demaryius Thomas was recently dumped and one can imagine he’s not too happy and won’t mind pumping the Texans with everything he knows which is everything.

Sure, the Broncos know all about DT, but who are they going to put on him? He may be a little slower in his step, but he’s good route runner, he’s big and if they cover him, that’s an open guy elsewhere.

Denver is ranked 28th against the run and 16th against the pass. With their secondary gasping for breath, doubtful that number increases. This is bad news for Jaguar fans who need a Texans loss.

No comment on these passing charts because they tell the story of who’s safer with the ball and maybe a harbinger of the day to come.

Titans (3-4) vs Cowboys (3-4) Monday 8:15 ESPN

Referee Crew

The Titans look pretty healthy sad to say.

Cowboys are a little banged up, also sad to say.

This is another game the Jags need some help with a loss by the Titans. Fortunately, this one seems more doable than the Texans game. While Dallas will be short-handed, their secondary, which is second against the pass is healthy.

They’ve only allowed 8 passing TD’s. Not to be left behind, TN has only allowed 9, so the passing defenses on these two teams are evenly matched.

When it comes to stopping the run, both teams are also close – TN has allowed 3, Dallas, 4. Both teams are also behind the curve when it comes to giveaways. Each are in the negative.

Which means this game will truly come down to who turns the ball over, least.

When it comes to total offense, both teams are way down in the dregs of the awful. Both teams are 30 and 31st in passing – they like to pass to the other team. Prescott is 50-50.

Tennessee is worse, but they had Gabbert for a couple of games and a hurt Mariota.

The only difference that separates these teams is Zeke Elliot and even he isn’t burning up the charts. I like to use TD stats over yards because who cares if you can throw and run between the 30’s if when you get in the red zone, you get a FG or zip?

Some teams have a lot of empty yards, so it’s the points that’s worth looking at. The cowboys have five rushing TD’s and Tennessee has three. Kind of pitiful.

In case you were wondering, both teams have missed two field goals and made all their XP’s, so the kicking game may not be a factor.

Neither QB is tearing it up, but with the game in Dallas and Dak doing better with the ball than Mariota, the edge goes to the Cowboys.

 

 

AFCS Week 5 Friday Injury Report – Game Day Status

AFCS Week 5 Friday Injury Report

Since the Colts already played (and lost), they’re not included in this report.

Sunday Titans (3-1) vs Bills (1-3) 1:00 CBS

Titans look good, since they’re playing the Bills and a rookie QB, but having Woodyard and Vaccaro out for the game may make a difference –hope so Jacksonville needs them to lose.

A couple changes for the good for the Bills could this game from being a blow out.