We do scouting reports on our enemies to keep track of injuries, games, stats so we have an idea of what we may face when playing our divisional foes and common opponents. Lets dive in to the AFCS Week 8 Preview – Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins, as this is late.
Below are passing charts, stats, referee crew and injury reports.
Dolphins (4-3) vs Texans (4-3) THURSDAY 8:20 FOX
Here’s the Referee crew
At first glance, Miami looks to be in bad shape, but most of their players were FP. Missing tight ends could hurt though because they’re the perfect safety net and an additional wall against a pass rush.
Looks like Jacksonville helped do a number to the Texans. I’m trying to care.
Deshaun Watson is the kind of QB teams hate – he’s not a guy who you can plot out and say here’s where to attack him because he plays by the seat of his pants. He’s a slippery guy who makes or extends plays off his legs.
Miami is 28th in total defense and 30th against the run. What does Houston do well? Run the ball.
Watson is one beat up mess having been sacked a 1,000 times, but guess what? Miami is way down in 29th in sacks. Which means, he may get a chance to breathe (literally).
Watson isn’t tearing it up with his arm, far from it, but during games, he finds a way to make crucial strikes during over times (yeah, that’s a snarky remark). Seriously though, just when you count him out, he pops up like a gopher and delivers a strike.
Not much on Osweiler passing charts, but what’s to know is this guy thinks he’s the greatest coming of all QB’s. He said he’d pick himself to win a game over John Elway and Peyton Manning. After being benched by the former for the latter.
Because of that, he always screws up – his arm can’t deliver what his ego thinks it can. This Houston team knows that. I could see them playing Man2 or starting off in zone playing loose, let him get a rapport with just one WR and then in the second half, play press. Then they can start jumping routes on desperate throws.
This about when the wheels start to come off for him. He begins to look like a competent QB and super man wants to burst through. That’s when he starts taking chances he shouldn’t. Houston is 16th against the pass, which is ok, but they have JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney who can seriously wreck your day.
While they may not be great at keeping catches down once they’re released, or really high in sack totals, Houston tries to make you hurry up. That’s when mistakes are made.
Not sure I’ve seen a chart where one has flipped so radically like above. I believe the green area from 2017 was targeting Demariyus Thomas because he had 3 TDs during Osweiler’s three games. With his favorite target, Albert Wilson gone, Amendola may be his go to guy.
There’s the key to beating the fins: give him Danny in the first, take him away in the second. Adam Gase can make the most of what he has, but then it’s up to Osweiler to stay in his lane – the average lane. He will chafe at it, especially if he has to play from behind and he will make cringe worthy mistakes.
What the Dolphins have going for them is Texans’ injury report. Their defense is pretty banged up which could make it tougher to implement what they need to do. If any team knows how to stop the former Texan QB, it’s the Texans.
As you can tell, I’m not an Asweiler, er, Osweiler fan. But I also despise the Texans, so it’s tough to think the Texans, even with Bill O’Brian often making some really stupid game calls, can win.
If the Dolphins want to win, they must run the ball, make Osweiler get rid of the ball quickly for the boring yards and be content to dink and dunk. Don’t turn the ball over. While Watson and the Texans aren’t quite yet firing on all cylinders, other teams giving them the ball is why they’ve won.
Houston and Miami are tied at 11th for differentials, making this a big key. The Texans are 14th in total defense, so check mark there.
Houston is better at quarterback and running, so more checks. When it comes to points scored, Miami is 20th and Houston 18th. Hence, if Miami wants to win, it has to come down to taking the ball away from Houston.
Not rocket science, but there you go.
- force Osweiler to be his own enemy
- watch Kenyon Drake
- Hit Watson to force turnovers
- Try to slow DeAndre Hopkins
Maybe they’ll both lose. I won’t shed a tear.