Included below are the TV areas, stats, injury reports, reffing crews and QB charts in this AFCS Week 6 Preview. Add it all up and maybe it helps you pick a winner or at least get a feel for our enemies.
The first map is for the 1:00 games, if you’re interested. There may be a mistake though because further down is the map for the Jags game and it doesn’t match up for the areas they show for the Denver game, both of which are at 4:25.
Bills (2-3) vs Texans (2-3) 1:00 CBS
The Bills are pin the nose of the donkey. Who knows what is going to be a hit and what’s not? This game may come down to which quarterback survives. These two have been sacked a combined 40 times.
Last week, a doctor was listening to Deshaun’s heart and breathing. If I were the parents of Josh Allen, I’d be worried about the 22 sacks he’s taken, too . Both teams have dished out a lot of them, but not as many as they’ve allowed.
Obviously the health status favor the Bills, every player was full. I’m envious, they could win just from these.
NexGen doesn’t add rushing charts unless a QB has done a few. Watson is running for this life. Hey, Jets, Watson will pass, a lot and run a bunch, get your track shoes out.
Dear Houston, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that the Bills are a run-first team (even though they’re mediocre at 3.5 yards a carry). That’s where you need to beat them. Since the Texans kill in the run game with only one allowed score and 3.4 yards per carry, it’s going to be a long day for the Bills, if Allen is off.
Houston is tied for 14th against the pass for yards, but when it comes to allowing passing TD’s they’re way down at the bottom at 28th. They’re also third worst at QB rating, so this is a chance for Allen to show more.
Buffalo is tied at 11th for giving up passing scores, 18th for yards. Based on that, Watson should have a good day (if he survives it). In addition, Buffalo has given up 5 rushing TD’s. Bottom line, unless Watson is hurt, it’s tough to see the Bills winning, healthy roster or not.
Colts (1-4) vs Jets (2-3) 1:00 CBS
Not sure what to say about this match-up. The Jets aren’t good, but Indy is an ER waiting room on a Saturday night.
Did you think, good God, do these lists end? Cody (who made them) said he got writer’s cramp – I can see why. Truly don’t know how the Colts have a chance unless the Jets just roll over and play dead.
Clearly the veteran, Andrew Luck, is far and beyond rookie Sam Darnold, but I post these for readers to see trends.
What’s to note is Darnold is at 60% which is pretty good for a rookie, especially with few weapons. You can also see that his coaches don’t quite trust him, yet. 22 attempts with 3TDs – they may want to open things up a bit against Indy – if any team should be tested, it’s the Colts.
Indy’s defense is ranked 22nd total, 26th against the pass for yards, but tied for 11th in allowing score. Against the run, they’re ranked 18th for yards, but 22nd for scores. So, the Jets need to pass down the field and run it in for touchdowns.
The Jets are mid pack in giving up yards and TD’s against the run. Something to note – Denver has a really good run game and they still lost, so not sure how much that matters since Indy’s game plan is for Luck to throw until his arm falls off.
As poor as Indy is against the pass, they’re among the best at not allowing big plays. In fact, they’re first at that – 38 yards was the longest. Considering last week, Darnold was bombs away against the Broncos, it could be interesting to see how that ends up.
Where the Jets have a chance to win is on defense, believe it or not. They have 14 sacks, 7 interceptions and Luck’s Oline will be his undoing. Edge goes to NY.
Jaguars (3-2) vs Cowboys (2-3) 4:25 CBS
(once again, we get a crew with newer guys)
Protect Bortles, win the game. It’s that simple. Jacksonville has a third team starting LT (which is why Ereck Flowers was signed) and the other four on the OL have been on the injury report for the last three weeks.
Blake Bortles doesn’t release the quickly and when he does get it out fast, it’s often wobbly. He’s not a QB who can toss a beauty downfield while his feet or legs are wrapped up. Good Blake needs time.
Sigh. The “good” news is Dallas isn’t in any better shape and Lawrence being iffy should help against a pass rush.
Oiy. Dear Jamal Charles, #DUUUVAL begs you to do good things so Bortles doesn’t have to throw 61 times. And really, there were like 70 passing plays called (sacks, penalties included) which is absurd.
Jacksonville and Dallas are ranked very close with 17.2 and 19.2 points given up a game; however, when it comes to yards given up, Jax is first and Dallas at 8. When it comes to giving up passing scores, Jax is first and 4th for least QB rating.
Basically, when it comes to passing, Jax is King, stopping the run is where they slip and why stopping Ezekiel Elliot is a must. The Jags are giving up 100 yards average a game, to the rush, but same as TD’s for passing – only three.
Dallas has allowed four rushing TD’s, and six passing. If the line can give Blake any kind of time against Dallas’ tied for 7th sack rate, he could do well. If not for last week, this would be a confident win for Jax. Best guess is the first drive for the Jags will say the day we’re in for.
The game may boil down to Zeke vs Jags’ DL because Dallas is 4th in rush. Stop him, could be game over because Prescott hasn’t shown he could do well against a secondary like Jacksonville’s.
See all that red? That’s who will be watching this game. The blue is for the Ravens/Titans. Jags must win this game.
Ravens (3-2) vs Titans (3-2) 4:25 CBS
This could be a good game or a snooze fest. In some areas each are very good and in others, fairly bad.
About even with injuries for both teams, neither looks great for their defenses.
Joe Flacco is passing the ball everywhere, but not getting a lot of traction with 8 total TD’s, however; injured Marcus Mariota has three. Not sure this is a good match-up for Tennessee.
Tennessee and Baltimore are very close in passing defense (5/6). Against the rush, the Ravens are kicking it, allowing only two TD’s and 3.9 yards per carry. Considering that Tennessee is a run-first team, that’s not great for them. The Titans have only allowed one TD, 4.4 yards per carry.
In passing, Flacco is 9th vs the 27th ranked Titans. Will say though that their stats aren’t good at painting the picture because they had Blaine Gabbert and an injured Marcus, who is looking better.
In rushing, 15th (Titans) and 25th (Ravens). This game will come down to the Ravens stopping the Titans’ rush because while Marcus is doing better, don’t think he he’s ready for a Raven defense and their 15 sacks, especially with both their tackles having been on the injury report.
This could be a low scoring good defensive game to watch and rushing wins the game. (Go Ravens)