AFCS Week 17 game previews – TV areas, stats, injury reports, & passing charts.

AFCS Week 17 game previews

This is it, one last game for the Jaguars to pull off a win, tanking be damned. If you want to know why I abhor tanking, READ HERE. This is also the last ditch effort for our three divisional teams to make the play-offs or move up in seeding. Here’s the AFCS Week 17 game previews – TV areas, stats, injury reports, & passing charts.

jaguars:texans tv viewing area wek 17

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

As usual, here’s the refs which I include because we should keep track of the crap since the NFL doesn’t seem to care.

Referee Crew:

Pete Morelli referee crew

Sad to say, but I won’t miss seeing Leonard Fournette. This season, he’s had two games that were ok, the rest were snoozes. Let’s bring on Dave Williams. It’s good to see DJ Chark back. People hate on Jalen Ramsey, but that dude has played almost the entire season hurt and yet Jax’s secondary is still tops.

Jaguars week 17 friday injury report

Have written before, I don’t trust Bill O’Brian’s injury reports, so just ignore them.

texans week 17 friday injury report

Blake Bortles is baaaack, will he play the entire game is the question? They’re dressing out Tanner Lee, so we can guess they’d like to give him reps and if that happens, assume we’re getting creamed.

I’m posting just the cumulative passing charts because Bortles hadn’t started in a few weeks. Clearly, Deshaun Watson is having a good season even if he’s not among the top passing leaders. He’s judicious with the ball and compliments their run game.

As a slight defense of Borltes, his OL has been atrocious, he didn’t have his number one wide receiver, tight end or running back, plus the OC was fired. Not exactly what is scripted for bringing out the best in QB’s.

A quick recap of the last match-up: Bortles fumbled twice which allowed Houston to get a FG and a TD. Cody Kessler played the second half and lobbed in a TD. Yeldon let a pass bounce off him for an interception.

The Texans had less than 300 total yards, they won from sloppy play by Jax. If the Jags truly want to win, they’ll need their defense to do it for them. To do that, they’ll need to sack Watson more than once. Most importantly, they must play a clean game.

Limit penalties, don’t turn the ball over, create turnovers.

Watson only threw 139 yards that day, I could see that again, but the offense must show up. Houston is ranked 29th vs the pass. They’ve allowed 28 TD’s, but they’ve got 43 sacks and with this OL, it’s tough to see that number not jumping a bunch.

Jacksonville has not been good against the rush, that’s the concern. Even though Houston has DeAndre Hopkins (IMHO the best WR in the NFL this season), the Jags may be best to double him and force Watson to throw everywhere else.

Encourage the pass over the run because it makes their time of possession smaller which will be critical for the Jacksonville offense. One, they’re terribly inefficient and will need more chances to score and two, passing keeps our defense fresher.

Houston’s run game is mid pack as well as their passing, but as everyone knows, stats only tell half the story. How and when you get your yards and scoring is what matters. The Jaguars need to have the Texans pass between the 30’s and run in the red zone. With only ten rushing TD’s this is where they are vulnerable.

As far as Houston, all they need to do is play their defense because the Jag’s offense is putrid. The offensive line is a mess, the tight ends are non-existent, Dede Westbrook is the only receiver (although with DJ Chark back, he could help) and with them down to Yeldon and Williams, who knows what the run game looks like?

The keys are:

Jax: Play smart. Sack Watson. Make him throw to anyone, but Hopkins.

Houston: Show up.

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

Referee Crew:

walt anderson referee crew

Marcus Mariota won’t be playing. Not that he’s had a good year (he hasn’t), but he’s been able to run to keep drives going, plus he’s much better than Blaine Gabbert at reading defenses.

With the Colts being in bad shape health-wise, they need a break and not having to spy on Mariota is that chance – not that Gabbert won’t run, but he’s not a dual-threat.

colts week 17 friday injury reporttitans week 17 friday injury report

There isn’t a cumulative chart for Gabbert, but his stats are: 7 games, 3 TDS, 2 INTS, on 72  attempts. His rating is 80.8 with a 59.7 completion rate. He’s tried to run 6 times, but has zero yards. His most attempts is 22 and most yards is 118.

The Colts won’t have to worry abut Gabbert tearing them up with his legs or arm. Their concern will be stopping the run and having enough offensive weapons to overcome the Titans 7th ranked defense.

Luck has used tight ends like a magician, it’s an area Tennessee has struggled against (as has most defenses), so while Eric Ebron and Ryan Hewitt are beat-up, he does have Mo Allie-Cox.

What’s of concern is their secondary, but with Gabbert playing, it may be a wash. Inman and Hilton also being hobbled is a huge concern. The Titans are third against the pass, not the best time to have hobbled tight ends and wide receivers.

Marlon Mack will most likely be the cog for Indy today. Tennessee is third vs rushing TD’s, but mid-pack elsewhere. If Indy can rely on him to carry the load between the 30’s and use Luck in the red zone, they could do ok.

Obviously, this will be a run and defense day, not only because of injuries, but the game is outside. The Colts are really good at limiting rushing yards, but only so-so in stopping scores. Against the pass, they’re only two TD’s behind the Titans and with Gabbert at the helm, that shouldn’t change.

These two teams are so close in what you see and get. They’re built differently, but they find ways to win. How injured Indianapolis really is, will be the difference. If it’s just normal bumps and bruises, they should win with Mack and Luck leading the way and just enough defense to stop Tennessee.

If the Colts are as bruised as their injury reports suggests and the Titans can get to Luck, it will be a long day. Both teams have 38 sacks which could be a big key for both teams. If Indy can get to Gabbert, game over, he’s not the calmest guy under pressure.

Andrew Luck is getting rid of the ball much faster this season, which has helped his great OL keep him at a league low of 17 sacks (wow). That will be the Titan’s task: sack Luck or at least cover his receivers long enough he has to hold on to the ball.

The keys:

Indy: Protect Luck. Rush Gabbert. Stop the run.

Tennessee: Derrick Henry must ball out. Sack Luck. Stop Mack.

This concludes the AFCS Week 17 game previews. Hope everyone has a good New Year’s, and none of our hated rivals get a play off win.

As always, GO JAGS!

NFL Week 17 game predictions, He Said/She Said.

This week, She is changing it up because she doesn’t care about the results this week. She’s choosing who she wants to wins in this NFL Week 17 game predictions, He Said/She Said.

1:00 GAMES

Falcons (6-9) vs Buccaneers (5-10) FOX

Jay: Falcons. Next. As an aside, ownership should force Jameis Winston out of the lineup this week so they can actually make a decision regarding his future when he can still pass a physical.

Jules: Neither team is in the PO’s, so this is a game to evaluate players (and coaches) for next season. This applies to any team with an (*). If Jameis Winston wants a job in TB, he needs to ball out. If he wants loads of cash on another team, he needs to ball out. That’s all I’ll be watching. Oh, and Koetter no matter what happens needs to go. Bucs win at home.

Cowboys× (9-6) vs Giants (5-10) FOX

Jay: this game has hangover written all over it. Giants win because Dallas has quick hooks for Zeke, Dak and Amari.

Jules: NYG are fools if they don’t play their rookie QB the entire game. If they play Manning, then I say, beat the snot out of Dallas and spoil their season. Squash them like bugs. Giants.

Panthers (6-9) vs Saints∞ (13-2) FOX

Jay: Saints because they won’t sit as many starters as people think they will. Won’t wanna be rusty in 2 weeks.

Jules: TEDDY BRIDGEWATER TIME. Go Saints, second teamers and all, Panthers shouldn’t play Cam Newton and they also should shut down their starters.

Jets (4-11) vs Patriots*∞ (10-5) CBS

Jay: patriots need this. Patriots will get it

Jules: How convenient the Patriots* have week 17 at home (as usual). They win, but I hope they lose and have to play on the road, this will assure no NE* in the SB.

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans× (10-5) CBS

Jay: Texans. They need this if they’d like to at least play 1 game at home in the playoffs, and also have a shot at a bye.

Jules: I know I should say Texans. Jax will be going with a PS guy as their starting RB (Dave Williams), and chances are Tanner Lee plays (he’s the guy they inexplicably drafted in the 5th round this season). If he plays they’re losing by a bunch; however, there are several defensive guys who must kill it and they could make Watson pay. Go Jags.

Lions (5-10) vs Packers (6-8-1) FOX

Jay: Bad game. Packers

Jules: I hope to hell they don’t play Rodgers. If they make that smart decision, Lions could win because Matt Patricia should want to win. I’m rooting for Detroit to pull off a miracle.

Dolphins (7-8) vs Bills (5-10) CBS

Jay: bad game. Bills

Jules: Bills if Asweiler plays. Bills even if Tannehill plays which would be dumb because they need him healthy to sell at auction for a bag of leftover halloween candy, a fruitcake and a pair of Elmo fuzzy slippers.

4:25 GAMES

Cardinals (3-12) vs Seahawks× (9-6) FOX

Jay: Seahawks but in a game closer than the experts think

Jules: These 4:25 games are a joke. Most are with one crap team who wants to lose. Seahawks, duh.

49ers (4-11) vs Rams∞ (12-3) FOX

Jay: Rams need it. They’ll get it

Jules: Tell you what, it wouldn’t shock if SF won even if it’s better they lost. Kyle Shanahan (heart emoji) has got that offense playing pretty well and he’s most likely gotten Nick Mullens a starting a gig on some team next season. But the Rams are desperate to win. LAR.

Chargers (11-4)∞ vs Broncos (6-9) CBS

Jay: I wanna say Broncos, but I don’t have the guts to pick them.

Jules: Denver’s game was their running back, Phillip Lindsay, who’s out. If LA can’t beat a team that is imploding from the top floor on down, they have no business going to the super bowl. Also, there is no heart left in the Broncos to have the will to play spoiler, those players have checked out. Chargers.

Eagles (8-7)× vs Redskins (7-8) FOX

Jay: I dislike both teams equally. Eagles win

Jules: Who doesn’t want to see Philly pull off a win?

Bengals (6-9) vs Steelers× (8-6-1) CBS

Jay: Steelers need this. They’ll get it

Jules: I think Steelers win at home because Cincy is that bad.

Bears (11-4)∞ vs Vikings× (8-6-1) FOX

Jay: Both teams need this win, badly. Minnesota for obvious reasons, but also because if the Bears were to lose, they’ll see Minnesota next week in the wild card round. You don’t wanna play a team 3 times.

Jules: Finally, a match-up worth looking forward to. If my man Dalvin Cook can roll like the thunder, MN has a small chance to win, but if it’s on Cousins’ shoulders, game over. I want Chicago to win because I have really liked watching the da Bears this season.

Raiders (4-11) vs Chiefs∞ (11-4) CBS

Jay: Chiefs crowd will push the team to home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Jules: I have seen Andy Reid choke week 17 so many times, I’m not so sure I have faith that he can beat Jon Gruden. Oakland has many first round picks, they may say, screw it and go balls to the walls. I’m probably alone in this, and most likely wishful thinking, but I think the Raiders could eke one out, sending LAC to the 1 spot.

Browns (7-71) vs Ravens× (9-6) CBS

Jay: Ravens obviously need this, but does anyone wanna play Cleveland now? Baltimore in a slugfest that ends up somewhere around 16-13

Jules: Who’s not excited to see this game? Lamar Jackson (the red headed step child of the media) and the darling of their eyes, Baker Mayfield? I’m pulling for Pompano Beach Lamar and his defense. P-O-M-P-A-N-O.

8:20 GAME NBC

Colts× (9-6) vs Titans× (9-6)

Jay: Can’t wait to watch this. And I have no feel for this game, so I’ll go with the home team in a battle.

Jules: I love Mark Vrabel, but detest the Titans more than the Texans. Houston is pretty hurt, but Marcus Mariota spent four days this week with no feeling in half his body. I’m banking on the Texans to stop Tennessee’s run game just enough to get a W.

AFCS Week 17 Friday Injury Report/Game Status

AFCS Week 17 Friday injury report for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans

This is it, the final injury report for the 2019 season. I won’t be doing an injury report for whichever team in our division makes the Play-offs. I hope that team (Colts) is one and done. Read below for the AFCS Week 17 Friday Injury Report/Game Status for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans.

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

Remember Tanner Lee? I didn’t. He’ll be Blake Bortles’ back-up and I’d guess he will see playing time. It would be dumb not to since they should evaluate what he’s got before they head into next season.

How do you get injured on a final walkthrough of the season? Carlos Hyde, DJ Hayden and Jalen Ramsey must be rolling their eyes. Are we supposed to believe they’re injured? Or an excuse to only play them a little to make sure they don’t get hurt going into 2019?

On the Texans side, what a crock.

Jaguars week 17 friday injury reporttexans week 17 friday injury report

They should cream us, but would be dope to be the spoiler. Screw draft order, if your entire team revolves around being up five spots, you’re not very good in drafting and coaching.

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

I’d like the Colts to thump the Texans. When Peyton Manning was there, it was tough to hate Indy because it was him and not some no-name guy that creamed us every year. Houston and Tennessee is another story, they both need to lose and go home crying.

Yes the Colts look like half a team, but Tennessee has half of Marcus Mariota. That should even things somewhat. It’s Andrew Luck being down weapons and their almost entire secondary on this list that is the, oh crap. At least none of the DL is on here because it’s tough to see the Titans throwing a lot.

colts week 17 friday injury reporttitans week 17 friday injury report

That’s all folks, see you in August, happy new year and may it bring the Jags circa 2017.

AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report

AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report

Everyone, but the Jaguars, are still in the play off hunt and so their injury reports matter – for the Jags, seems like 1/2 their team is on IR. This AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report is short and sweet.

SUNDAY 1:00

Jaguars (5-10) vs Texans (10-5) CBS

It doesn’t matter Fournette is on here, again. I wouldn’t play him even if healthy. The dude needs to be shut down, rolled in bubble wrap and put away until a regular season game we need him. I’m glad to see DJ Chark is healthy.

jaguars week 17 injury repoert

Texans looking a little road weary. but it hasn’t seem to hurt them much because their Injured Reserves list is short.

texans week 17 thursday injury report

8:20 NBC

Colts (9-6) vs Titans (9-6)

Colts list has grown again after shrinking little. Their team may struggle looking like this especially with their offensive weapons and the secondary.

colts week 17 thursday injury report

Flipping the Titans off, way too healthy; however, I’m thinking having a qb say he couldn’t feel half is a body is’t a good thing.

titans week 17 thursday injury report

 

That’s it for the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Tennessee Titans – AFCS Week 17 Thursday Injury Report.

Week 16 NFL game predictions – He Said/She Said.

Week 16 NFL game predictions - He Said/She Said.

Even though it’s been a crazy season, He and She are actually doing pretty well compared to the men behind desks who get paid to make predictions. We’re hovering between 70 and 75%.

These last two games shouldn’t have any surprises, but who knows? This is typically when high flying offenses start getting grounded because the best defenses have adapted and the run game wins in bad weather.

SATURDAY GAMES

Redskins (7-7) vs Titans (8-6) 4:30 NFL Network

Jay: Home team, short week, better defense, better quarterback…Titans by 7.

Jules: Titans, and I don’t care who wins, neither team is in any condition to get to Atlanta, but the game is in TN and they have a better defense and run game.

Ravens (8-6) vs Chargers (11-3) 8:20 NFL Network

Jay: This is going to be a very fun game and I have a sneaking suspicion that Baltimore walks into LA and wins by 3. I’m looking forward to being proven wrong though.

Jules: The word is Baltimore will give LA’s defense fits because of Lamar Jackson and their defense. The thing is, LA’s run game and defense is very close, but they have a better passing game. In warm LA, I’m going with Rivers.

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7) CBS

Jay: Wentz-Magic….I just trust Houston’s defense more here. Houston by 4

Jules: I’m reluctantly picking Houston, but with little film on Foles, I think Philly has a good chance to win. If Wentz plays, the Teams win.

Packers (5-8-1) vs Jets (4-10) FOX

Jay: Blah. Jets

Jules: Who cares? I’m going with home team.

Bills (5-9) vs Patriots (9-5) CBS

Jay: New England in a game that will be tougher than most people think it should be.

Jules: NE* because the game is there.

Vikings (7-6-1) vs Lions (5-9) FOX

Jay: Lean on Dalvin and Latavius…lean away from Stafford.

Jules: Dalvin Cook, not Cousins. Dude can’t carry a team.

Buccaneers (5-9) vs Cowboys (8-6) FOX

Jules: I trust Jameis over Dak, but the game is in Dallas, so I’m picking Zeke to be responsible for a win.

Jay: I have zero trust in Jameis Winston, and the game is in Dallas, so I will go with Dallas here.

Bengals (6-8) vs Browns (6-7-1) CBS

Jay: Browns in the battle for mediocrity (which is a huge upgrade for Cleveland).

Jules: Williams over Lewis. Cincy needs to make bold changes at HC and QB.

Falcons (5-9) vs Panthers (6-8) FOX

Jay: My guess is go with the better QB here. I’ll take Atlanta even with or without Julio.

Jules: Last season, this would’ve been a good game. Newton is playing poorly due to injury, even so, I’m going with them because their run game will give the Falcons fits.

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

Jay: Miami…they need this and Jacksonville stinks out loud.

Jules: Miami, two sons will be at the game, but I think they may leave heartbroken, Jax offense is pitiful.

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

Jay: Colts need this. Giants don’t. Home team.

Jules: While NY has looked better with Shumur, Eli is so hit or miss, tough to see him outscoring Luck.

4:05 GAMES

Bears (10-4) vs 49ers (4-10) FOX

Jules: the one fear is this could be a trap game. First year starter vs this defense and they made Denver look silly, but Chicago has seeding on the line, so going to say Nagy doesn’t let them take any W for granted.

Jay: Very much a trap game, but the 2 seed is still technically in play here, so Chicago gives it their all and wins by 3 in San Francisco.

Rams (11-3) vs Cardinals (3-11) FOX

Jay: LA. Blah

Jules: Just what LA needs, a team they should beat to get their confidence back. If they lose, and the Bears win, I say Chicago is SB bound.

4:25 GAME CBS

Steelers (8-5-1) vs Saints (12-2)

Jay: Saints at home is very safe

Jules: Saints, that home crowd will be rocking and NO is 2/3’s better.

8:20 GAME NBC

Chiefs (11-3) vs Seahawks (8-6)

Jay: I love this game. Just because my brother in law is a Chargers fan, I’m taking Seattle just out of family loyalty.

Jules: Oh, this could be a real slugfest. Three top games this week – Chargers, Bears and this one. If Russell Wilson is on his game, I think they could pull off the win in that loud stadium. Losing Kareem Hunt hurt KC and Gus Bradley is a Pete Carroll disciple.

MONDAY 8:15 ESPN

Broncos (6-8) vs Raiders (3-11)

Jay: Home team because of sentimental, nonsense reasons. Oh, and Denver is checked out.

Jules: Why these two teams have a Monday night game is beyond me. Gruden’s job is safe, Vance is out the door, so could see an easy win go out the same door with him. The players have bad-mouthed him, so can see them playing without any heart.

MERRY CHRISTMAS!

AFCS Week 16 Game Previews – TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports

AFCS Week 16 Game Previews - TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports

As we enter week 16, three teams in our division has something to play for, and the Jaguars do not. However, the cards need to fall exactly right for the Titans and Colts to have a shot at a Wild Card. Take a gander at the AFCS Week 16 Game Previews – TV Viewing, Referees, Stats, Passing Charts, Injury Reports.

All Saturday games will be nationally broadcast as will the Sunday 4:00 and night game, and Monday’s, too.

Here is FOX’s 1:00 games

NFL week 16 TV viewing map FOXNFL week 16 viewing map CBS

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

I put ref crews each week because this season has seen some really crappy reffing and you may not think much this week, but you can come back here and see who officiated for future reference.

Referee Crew:

john hussey referree crew

The Redskins are a game back from the Cowboys, but with their beat-up team and QB situation, tough to see them winning this game or the next.

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORTTITANS week 16 friday injury report

Look at these charts and one has to wonder, how long do the Titans accept that Marcus Mariota is always hurt and while he has moments of good quarterbacking, he’s 20th in total QBR with a 54 which is just barely above average (75 is pro bowl caliber) and that is a trend. His rating is 91.9.

Josh Johnson hasn’t had enough games to get a QBR (it bases its scores on each play by difficulty, right decision, was the receiver wrong, etc and takes into account garbage time). However, just based on his straight passing stats, he’s 98.2. Against Jax he was very careful with the ball and I see that continuing vs TN.

josh johnson passing chartsmarcus mariota passing charts

This game will be won from the legs of their running backs. Tennessee’s defense is tied for third with 8 in allowed rushing touchdowns. That puts Washington at a huge disadvantage right from the jump. Washington is 13th with 11.

When it comes to passing TD’s allowed, the Titans are third again with 17. The skins are 15th with 23. Clearly one defense is better.

Tennessee is 30th in passing yards and TD’s, so that’s the one area Washington has a chance. Keep the injured Mariota throwing. Yes, let him throw; however, rush him up the middle when he does.

Johnson is such a new face so late in the season, I’ve no idea what he can do and that could help them win. It’s a slim chance, but if the skins can keep the run game down, they have a good chance at winning. If they can’t, it won’t be close.

It’s important to know that only recently has Tennessee got their running going, two games with Derrick Henry balling out has pushed their numbers up. Stop Henry, stop the Titans. Washington’s run game is ok, nothing to write home about, but if Johnson can be efficient, the two together could work.

While the pundits think this is a slam dunk game, I’m not so sure just because Tennessee is so one-dimensional on offense, hence their record. If the Redkins can pull it off, it wouldn’t be shocking.

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

There’s something that seems to happen to referees when they officiate IN Jacksonville, they turn into brain dead zombies. Most teams get a home field advantage with refs (I did an article once tracking flags/yards and it’s clear home teams have less), but that’s not the case for the Jaguars.

Based on that, we could see a “fair” game. I didn’t see Martin reffing a game for the AFCS this season, so no idea how he did, not that it matters, now.

Referee Crew:

Clay Martin referee crew.png

Ryan Tannehill is hurt, again. I could see Calais Campbell sacking him and Asweiler ends up playing. If that’s the case, I’ll bet six Christmas cookies he throws a pick. That man thinks he has an arm of the gods and Jacksonville’s secondary isn’t the team to play  like that against.

Jaguars week 16 friday injury reportdolphins week 16 friday injury report

Here’s the deal. Tannehill looked good vs NE* because their secondary isn’t very good and their linebackers are slow. His QBR (not Rating) is actually lower than Bortles and that’s saying something. Ryan is 31st. Only Josh Rosen is worse.

I’m not going to post passing charts because there’s not enough on Cody Kessler and Tannehill has been hurt all season, plus he missed games. What we do know is Kessler has thrown one TD in three games and Tannehill has thrown 16.

Adam Gase loves the passing game, so Ramsey and Co better be on their toes. However, stopping Kenyon Drake and Kalen Ballage is the real trial and based on how Jax has done vs the run, I’m not shaking any pom poms.

The key to this game is Jax’s defense because that seems to be the only way get points. Miami has something to play for, the Jaguars don’t and sad to say, that matters. However, there are several players who need a good game for a chance to stick around.

The flip side is, Marrone is now heavily playing all the young (and cheap) players to get evaluations for next season. These young bucks will play hard, but they will make mistakes. We saw it vs Washington.

Could Jacksonville play spoiler vs Miami? Yes, Dave Williams could bust out and the Dolphins don’t have an answer, their defense isn’t great (as in, sucks). Just because they beat Brady* (who’s not Brady* anymore), doesn’t mean that defense can stop lowly Jacksonville.

If Williams can get a run game going and the receivers remember how to catch, the Jaguars can win. I didn’t say Leonard Fournette because if I was Doug Marrone, I’d shut him down for the season. Why take a chance he gets hurt?

The only thing holding them back is themselves. Period. Seriously, they have the better defense by far which should keep Miami from scoring a lot. Add Miami being poor on defense, the answer is the run game for Jax.

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

This makes me kind of sick to say, but I’m pulling for the Colts, any teams to stop NE* from having home field berthing.

Referee Crew:

brad allen ref crew

Giants are really healthy, and the Colts are still banged up, but it hasn’t seemed to stop them.

GIANTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

COLTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Eli Manning with Odell Beckham and without is stark. Not even Saquon Barkley can save him. These passing charts show that New York’s defense, which is ranked 4th best in passing TD’s, will be a busy bunch.

Indy is right behind them with only one more allowed touchdown. Advantage Colts because I don’t see their secondary being afraid of Eli.

Andrew Luck passing chartseli manning passing charts

Eli is careful with the ball and his numbers aren’t bad at all, until you look at how few times he’s scored. Right now, he’s the guy who does well between the 30’s, but too often peters out in the red zone.

Andrew Luck has 14 more TDs. The chart above isn’t current, Luck has 34 TD’s now and Manning, 20.

Indy has 9 rushing touchdowns and New York has 10, so not as if we’ll see much of a ground and pound game especially since it’s in a dome. However, Darius Leonard is out and that could help NY in the center of the field, plus two safeties are hobbled which should help Manning.

However, this contest is still the Colts’ to lose. They have the better passing game by far, their defenses are about equal in passing and both have similar offensive rushing. In outdoors games I go with best defense and run game (at this time year), but passing rules inside.

Overall, Indy is 11th in allowing points and NY is 22. There’s just no area when you can say the Giants have an advantage, unless the Colts have a bad day. OR Indy loses another offensive lineman, they’re the key to Luck having a great season, with Cosonzo out, that could be an issue.

Home team.

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

Both are fighting for different reasons. Houston wants a first round bye and Eagles want to win their division.

Referee Crew:

john parry referree crew

Carson Wentz is a better QB than Nick Foles, even banged up; however, a healthy Foles can do things a hurt Wentz can’t. Right now, Foles has the hot hand, so it’s good they ruled Carson, out. Both teams are beat up, neither has an advantage, here.

TEXANS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORTEAGLES WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Neither QB is lighting the world on fire, but both have a knack of getting their teams in good positions with the right throws, at the right times.

Nick Foles passing chartdeshaun watson passing charts

As you can see, Houston has a weapon Philly doesn’t and that’s a mobile QB who will tear you up when you’re not expecting it.

I’m not going to use the Eagles passing stats because with two QB’s, it’s too tough, but will use Houston’s and both defenses.

When it comes to defense, Houston is 4th in stopping total yards, 5th in points allowed, and third in not allowing rushing touchdowns. They do struggle against the pass, they’ve allowed 24 air TD’s.

For the Eagles, they’re 18th in allowing rushing TD’s, 10th in air touchdowns and 27th overall in allowing yards. They’re giving up 22 points a game.

Neither team is great in sacks or interceptions; however Philly is tied for 10th in INTs.

Where the Eagles have an advantage is their run game, they have 12 TD’s to Houston’s 8. Strange, but true. It’s going to be cold and in a hostile environment which means this game will come down to defense and rushing.

When boiled down to that, it’s almost a wash. However, Foles has been practicing in this weather while Watson is a dome guy and that could help Philly on the passing side. I don’t see an easy game for either team, it could end up being a real slugfest.

Philly could pull off a win because I think the weather may take away the passing advantage for Houston, plus their rush defense isn’t great.

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE, see ya next week.

AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses.

AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses

I’d like to say oh, look, the Dolphins are really banged up and we’re not, but the truth is, half our starters are on injured reserve while Miami is still fighting for a play-off chance. As far as the rest of the AFCS Week 16 Friday Injury report and game statuses, not a lot of changes.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

The Redskins are a hurt bunch, the Titans aren’t in great shape, either, but it shouldn’t matter.

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORTTITANS week 16 friday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

The gave ups vs the mediocre. Tannehill was still limited so there’s a chance Brock Osweiler could play towards the end.

Jaguars week 16 friday injury reportdolphins week 16 friday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

GIANTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

COLTS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

Not great for either team.

TEXANS WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORTEAGLES WEEK 16 FRIDAY INJURY REPORT

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE, see ya next week.

AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

Unlike what the Jaguars did, the Titans should be able to handle this decimated Redskin team which looks ever worse today than yesterday. The Dolphins got a tab bit healthier, see the AFCS Week 16 Thursday injury report, plus game status for the Redskins & Titans.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

REDSKINS WEEK 16 THURSDAY INJURY REPORT

TITANS week 16 friday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

This will basically be a scrimmage for Jacksonville and an evaluation for next season.

Jaguars week 16 thursday injury reportdolphins week 16 thursday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

giants week 16 thursday injury report

colts week 16 thursday injury report.png

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

texans week 16 thursday injury reporteagles week 16 thursday injury report

Come back tomorrow for the final injury reports.

AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report

AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report

This week’s injury report (and week 17 ) for teams out of the play off hunt, is not exactly a good reflection on the health status of the teams. Most franchises put slightly hurt guys on IR to open a spot up for a third string or practice spot guy and to save money. (Jules will explain more in her game previews). AFCS Week 16 Wednesday Injury Report.

The Jaguars injury report looks small compared to all season, but that’s because there’s very few left to play and players elevated who have barely or never played; therefore, are injury free.

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL NETWORK

Redskins (7-7)  vs Titans (8-6)

redskins week 16 wednesday injury reporttitans week 16 wednesday injury report

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Jaguars (4-10) vs Dolphins (7-7) CBS

This will basically be a scrimmage for Jacksonville and an evaluation or next season.

Screen Shot 2018-12-19 at 8.35.58 PM

dolphins week 16 wednesday injury report

Giants (5-9) vs Colts (8-6) CBS

If the Giants play Manning, they’re idiots. They’re out of the PO race and Shumur says he thinks Eli will play for a few more years. Then why risk him? You’ve got a rookie you drafted, play him to see where he is at.

giants week 16 wednesday injury reportcolts week 16 wednesday injury report

Texans (10-4) vs Eagles (7-7)

eagles week 16 wednesday injury reporttexans week 16 wednesday injury report

To tank or not to tank, that is the question for the Jacksonville Jaguars.

to tank or not to tank

There are two streams of thoughts when it comes to what the Jaguars should do for these last games: win for pride or lose for a higher draft pick. Pride shouldn’t be a choice. Players should have that every game. It should be, win for next season. To tank or not to tank?

Wins help the team more for 2019, or does drafting top 5 or 10 ? Most believe the Jaguars need to draft a quarterback. At this point, there are three on the table: Dwayne Haskins, Will Greir and Justin Herbert.

There are three teams in the same boat as Jacksonville: Denver, Giants and Redskins. All three could finish with six wins. There are other teams with quarterbacks that may want to draft because of contract issues or age. However, do the Buccaneers and Titans feel one of these rookies is better than what they have?

No matter how you look at it, teams with rookie QB’s almost always tank. Most often it’s due to youth, but in addition, teams that draft quarterbacks at the top, have issues beyond a signal caller. This often is a toxic mix.

This season there were five QB’s taken in the first round and their records aren’t good. Browns finally got a good GM who made the right coaching calls, and now they’ve won because Mayfield was the missing piece to team that was loaded with talent, but needed better coaching. Before some house cleaning, they’d been drafting in the top ten for years without wins.

The Cardinals are 3-10, The Bills and Jets are 4-9. The Ravens are 7-6, but they drafted LAST.

Four quarterbacks drafted top ten and four have losing records, the one drafted last is on a winning team. Can it all be blamed on the young guns? No, because poor coaching or other issues plagued the teams going into 2018.

To tank or not to tank?

That is why it is NOT in the best interest of the Jags to tank. They need to show they can win the last three. The team has a very talented defense, but injures decimated the offense. Before the players started dropping like dominoes, Jax was 3-1.

Look around the league, KC lost last night and part of that was due to their secondary, which is hurt. They could lose the next two because of it and now become a wild card. The Redskins were up two games in the NFCE and then injuries struck.

The Texans started the season with a phone book of injuries, same for the Colts and then they got players back and they started to win.

The point is, good coaches find a way to win even with a depleted team. The Redskins are beatable. The Dolphins could be a problem, but the Texans could end up sitting their starters week 17. So, two or three winnable games left.

Another reason to win is cap space. Doug Marrone needs the rookies and second year players to ball out which allows Dave Caldwell to make cuts. While it’s always sad to see favored players leave, the team needs the future to step up.

In addition, despite fans wanting to fire everyone, it’s rare for franchises to hire new coaching staffs and then get to the play-offs the following season. It’s for three reasons: this typically happens because the franchise is a mess and/or they don’t have a good head coach or QB.

The franchises that have been successful at it, had a great quarterback like Peyton Manning who also acted like a coach. There is no Manning available to sign, or anyone remotely like him to come save this franchise if they lose the next three.

NE* hasn’t drafted in the top ten in a decade, and have had drafts without a first round pick and yet, every year, there they are, going to the playoffs.

COACHING IS EVERYTHING.

Many would say it’s because Brady*, but it was Belichick who found him, it’s Belichick who coached him, it’s Belichick who has players people never heard of, winning. If you believe it was all Brady*, where was he drafted?

Meanwhile, teams like the Browns and Jacksonville repeatedly have had top ten picks and where did it get them? We need Marrone to show he can motivate this team to keep their head in it. He can’t do much about having Kessler, but if they lose, it needs to be solely because of him, not the team lacking effort.

If this team loses the next three, the players are listless, and they need a new quarterback, the Jags won’t be winning for a while. Maybe three years from now. However, if the franchise is just missing a QB and a few healthy players, then 2019 should be a big improvement.

Will a rookie QB make the difference between making the play-offs and not? Extremely doubtful because it goes to coaching. A franchise must have a plan in place and be in full agreement on how to develop him.

The owner, president, VP, GM, head coach and offensive coordinator must be on the same page, have the same vision and commitment to their drafted quarterback. They also can’t pick a quarterback and then the next season bring in another new staff. If so, you have incompetent Denver who chose Paxton Lynch and wasted that pick.

If Jacksonville loses and does it by looking like they did in some of these games this season, then Shad Khan will need to clean house from top to bottom and I don’t believe there’s a franchise out there that put in a place a brand new staff, drafted a quarterback, and won the next season.

The fans need these wins if they want to see them next season. While they may not get the top quarterback, they could get the second best one and based on the drafts lately, that’s not a bad thing.

Better to have the next (healthy) Carson Wentz and a steady staff on the same page, than Jared Goff and a revolving coaching carousel. Goff, who stunk, until he got the right coach for him.

Speaking of which, the reason franchises that keep changing coaches tend to stink is because they change schemes, playbooks, and styles of players they like. Plus, they want their guys. Jon Gruden is in Oakland cleaning house so he and his coaches have who they picked.

This often means second and third year players are wasted and not fully developed because they don’t fit their new coaches’ preferences. Nor do coaching techniques or personalities mesh. When that happens, you end up with a boatload of dead money, wasted cap space and rosters of players riding the bench.

Readers, cheer for the win, not root for the loss in the dreams 2019 will be all better because the next Peyton Manning, or whomever drafted in the top ten is your GOAT., is walking through the door.

COACHING IS EVERYTHING

I’m cheering the coaches show they can be the answer next season. I’m cheering for a coaching staff on the same page when choosing the next quarterback, and they stick around to develop him. I’m cheering for continuity and consistency, a crucial key to success. I’m cheering Khan has made the right choices in front office staff. I’m cheering for #DUUUVAL to shine, not tank.

I’m cheering for WINS!

Week 15 NFL Game predictions, He Said/She Said

Week 15 NFL Game predictions, He Said/She Said

Last week, had the predictions done, but things came up and didn’t get them posted. Even though we don’t do Thursday games because we feel they’re too far out, I did tweet the result would be Chargers 31-30. If I’m losing on Sunday, I’m going to count it. 🙂 Here’s our Week 15 NFL Game predictions, He Said/She Said

SATURDAY GAMES

Texans (9-4) vs Jets (4-9) NFL Network 4:30

Jay: I’ll take the better team here on the short week, Houston was woken up last week against Indy.

Jules: If Jax could smack the Jets, seriously doubt the Texans can’t. Houston is clicking and Darnold is a rookie with lots up down and some ups.

Browns (5-7-1) vs Broncos (6-7) 8:20 CBS

Jay: Boy this is a tough one…I’ll take the home team, but I don’t have a lot of confidence in this pick. Cleveland is very tough.

Jules: It’ll be the Chubb show as viewers will get to see the cousins face off. Chubb’s’s legs or Lindsay’s legs? These two teams are almost identical when it comes to scoring and allowing points. Home field the advantage? No, Denver is struggling with stopping the run and Nick Chubb gives Mayfield a chance vs a secondary without Chris Harris.

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Titans (7-6) vs Giants (5-8) CBS

Jay: Which Titan team do we see? Which NYG team do we see? I trust the Titan defense. I don’t trust the Giant defense, therefore I will take Tennessee.

Jules: Can’t believe I’m picking NYG even without OBJ. The reason is, the Titans are inconsistent, are poor at scoring points and after the Jax blow-out, they may drop back. Plus, Shumur has Eli looking pretty good.

Dolphins (7-6) vs Vikings (6-6-1) CBS

Jay: Pressure bursts pipes. The Vikings need this one (as do the Dolphins) and the Dolphins are coming off an emotional high that is extremely difficult to come down from. YOU LIKE THAT?!?!

Jules: I’ve said all season, I’m not a Cousins fan and don’t trust him. Tough to see Cousins stinking at home though; however, Miami does have a winning record. I could see Cousins trying too hard to show he’s better and make dumb decisions to get more.

Redskins (6-7) vs Jaguars (4-9) CBS

Jay: Redskins are like Fife and Drum at this point. I’ll go against my previous rule of picking against Jacksonville here and take them, but I’m not happy nor comfortable with it.

Jules: I know I always pick them, but this is the last home game, they’re coming off a bye, the Redskins have Johnson as QB, a guy Wash knows well and I’ll be there. Not to mention, there’s a few players that must show they’re worth being kept and/or getting paid elsewhere. Oh, and Washington is as beat up as us. As an aside, Kevin Harlan is doing this game (yay!).

Cowboys (8-5) vs Colts (7-6) CBS

Jay: Both teams gotta have it. Low scoring, field goal affair. 16-13 either way. I’ll take the home team.

Jules: Colts, better QB by far and Indy has gotten pretty good lately vs the pass. Don’t see Prescott, especially with questions over Zeke, doing well or the Cowboys secondary keeping up.

Raiders (3-10) vs Bengals (5-8) CBS

Jay: Crappy game…I’ll take the Raiders who have the better QB

Jules: Crap game (JINX!) and who cares? I’m saying Oakland because they seem to be clicking a little better and the Bengals are a mess.

Packers (5-7-1) vs Bears (9-4) FOX

Jay: This is a “gotta have it” game for Green Bay…must have. I also love the Bears here, but don’t love it.

Jules: Yes, GB looked better without McCarthy, but I love this Bears team. They’re fun, creative and surprising. If Tribisky can keep mistakes to a minimum, should be a win.

Lions (5-8) vs Bills (4-9) FOX

Jay: This is garbage. Bills

Jules: Yawn. Bills. Don’t see Detroit having the will to chase Allen around all day. Side note, what is Detroit going to do with Stafford? He’s like Cousins, you just can’t bet on him.

Buccaneers (5-8) vs Ravens (7-6) FOX

Jay: Jameis will throw 3 picks and we’ll all still be wondering whether they should pay him $20 Million next year (Answer: they shouldn’t).

Jules: Big game for Baltimore…and Jameis Winston. The Ravens defense is really good, can Winston outsmart their safeties which make mistakes? I think I trust them more than TB who may be losing a head coach.

Cardinals (3-10) vs Falcons (4-9) FOX

Jay: Falcons are better but Arizona is playing with some pride. Falcons at home.

Jules: Both bird teams are grounded and wingless. Going with home team.

4:05 GAME FOX

Seahawks (8-5) vs 49ers (3-10)

Jay: Seattle runs the ball 43 times and this game is over in 2 and a half hours.

Jules: Seattle keeps their wild card status alive.

4:25 GAME CBS

Patriots* (9-4) vs Steelers (7-5-1)

Jay: Patriots. What have the Steelers done this year to show they deserve to be picked in a tight spot?

Jules: NE* is tied for the worst road record of all winning teams. 3-4 and the Pats have lost back-to-back away games this season. In addition, the Bears are the only away team with a winning record they beat. Which is why I’m going with Pitt, but not with much faith.

8:20 GAME NBC

Eagles (6-7) vs Rams (11-2)

Jay: I’ll take the Rams here but there will be a massive contingency of Eagles fans in that crowd.

Jules: Luckiy for the Rams, there is enough film on Foles for them to have an idea of what’s coming. If they don’t win, I don’t see a trophy in Goff’s hands.

MONDAY 8:15 GAME ESPN

Saints (11-2) vs Panthers (6-7)

Jay: Saints. Just too good right now.

Jules: Newton is hurt, give me Brees and the Saints.

AFCS Week 15 Game Previews with stats, passing charts, injury reports, TV areas and referee crews

AFCS week 15 game previews
When games are on Saturdays, you know the season is winding down. Why do these AFCS Week 15 Game Previews when the Jaguars are out of the play off hunt? Because it’s football. Secondly, we will face our divisional opponents next season and most likely many of the same players and/or teams. Why not keep track of their stats, passing charts, injury reports and referee crews? Screen Shot 2018-12-15 at 2.32.46 PM

FOX GAMESScreen Shot 2018-12-15 at 2.32.14 PM

SATURDAY 4:30 NFL Network

Texans (9-4) vs Jets (4-9)

This should be an easy win for the Texans, but as they say, on any given Sunday… Referee Crew: brad allen ref crew The Texans look healthy with only three “questionables” which also gives them an edge. Don’t trust Bill O’Brian though, I swear he adds guys with a hang nail just to make other teams think they’re messed up and don’t need to play as hard. For the Jets, their secondary is the uh-oh.

Before we get to stats, let’s take a look at Misters Watson and Darnold. Last week, several were sure Sam was a bust, but then he found a groove and they flipped like a politician. Since Darnold didn’t play a few games, only showing last week and the overall chart. Obviously, the 21 year old rookie is far behind Watson. Neither one is tearing anyone up, though. sam darnold passing charts These passing charts tell a story and that’s both teams need a run game and a defense to win and that Watson has become comfortable with the middle of the field. Which may be the key to beating him: force him to throw to the left sidelines. Houston is 5th in allowing points – a paltry 19.9 per game. Unless your QB is Blake Bortles or someone close, allowing so little should be enough to win every game. Of the top ten teams against points, only Jacksonville and Denver have losing records and both have crappy QB’s. The Jets defense is down at 22nd and have a rookie QB, so that explains all you need to know about which team should win this game and do so handily. The area both teams are equal in is stopping passing TDs and sacks. Watson may not throw a whole bunch, but he helps the run game and that’s crucial. He tends to make critical strikes at the right moments that put his team in the best spot to win. The Jets passing game is like a ghost, only Arizona and Buffalo are worse (fellow rookies).   In short, because why drag out the conclusion, NY can’t run the ball well without Crowell, can’t pass well and their defense tries to do the best they can, but they’re on the field so much. The Jets’ weapon they used to beat Denver is on IR, they beat the Colts with FG’s and the Bills stink.

SUNDAY 1:00 GAMES

Titans (7-6) vs Giants (5-8)

This should be a good game, who would have thought that a month ago? The NFL is crazy this year. Referee Crew: shawn hochuli ref crew On Friday, Marcus Mariota was added to the injury report, a place he seems to live on. Will it matter? Probably not unless they need to rely on a passing game. With an ab injury, it means he’ll need to muscle throws in. He doesn’t have the strongest arm, so my guess is, any tight window throws beyond five yards will be an issue. For the Giants, who are so healthy it should be a crime, Odell Beckham is the concern. However, Sterling Shepard has shown he’s a weapon, too. titans week 15 friday injury reportgiants week 15 friday injury report When it comes to passing, Manning is throwing some slow flying ducks, but they’ve found ways around it, one of which is using Saquon Barkley. Pat Shumur is showing why he was chosen to be a head coach as the team is starting to click. eli manning passing charts For some reason, there isn’t a cumulative chart for Mariota, but I looked it up. He’s 11/8, 2,330 yards, 69.1% completion, with a rating of 93.4. Fairly close to Manning which kind of makes sense in that his arm strength is off from injuries, so they have to use him differently, too. marcus mariota passing charts The Giants are 16th in scoring points, the Titans 27th. Tennessee would have the same rushing TD’s as NY if not for the Jaguars showing they forgot how to stop the run and allowed Derrick Henry to do what he wanted. Could he do it again vs the Giants? Sure because they’re not very good stopping the run, they’re down in the 20’s for rushing yards and TD’s. Tennessee is 5th for not allowing TD’s. Tennessee is also far superior against the pass, for yards, but for points? Only one TD separates them. The key to the game is the run for the Titans. Whether it’s a tailback or Mariota, they’re going to need to run the ball for several reasons:
  • limit the hits Mariota takes
  • NY is good against the pass
  • they need to keep the better offense off the field, running burns more clock
  • NYG is poor vs the run
For NYG to win they need to force Mariota to throw and contain him the pocket. When Mariota throws, take away the short hops and ones to the middle. For Manning, keep the pass count under 30. Overall, the more he throws, the less efficient he is. Play action will work since Barkley is a threat. My money is on the home team because as good as the Titans defense is, their offense will need to put up some points.

Redskins (6-7) vs Jaguars (4-9) CBS

Two things have hurt the Jaguars more than anything this season: injuries and referees. They’re playing a team as beat up as them which should eliminate that issue as a factor, but the reffing may decide (again) who wins. They’re why I started adding ref crews to these scouting reports. Referee crew: clete blakeman ref crew The Redskins make me feel sorry them and that’s a big thing considering how beat up our team is. If the Jags don’t win, it’s one of three things: bad coaching, coaches are bad, the coaches’ game plan. redskins week 15 friday injury report It’s a shocker, but the OL will be missing two. I hope Kessler has been doing wind sprints because I believe the OL is down to the bag boys from Publix. Jaguars week 15 friday injury report I’m not posting passing charts for these quarterbacks because they look like what a Pop Warner Midget game would show, plus they have 2 games, combined. Based on what we don’t know about Cody Kessler and Josh Johnson, let’s look at rushing and defenses. It’s tough to imagine either team will try to put the game in their QB’s hands, but one should. In case you didn’t know, the Jags’ run game has been poor. Between an OL that spends more time at the ER than the games and Fournette who was out for weeks, they’re ranked in a tie for dead last for TD’s. Washington has twice as many at 12 and an average 4.4 yards per carry to Jacksonville’s 4.1. They also average 114 yards a game to Jax’s 104. Not exactly the stats a run-first team should have. Since Jacksonville is supposed to have a stout defense, I’m sure stopping the run must be good, right? Looks at Derrick Henry and sighs. Jax has allowed 14 TD’s to Washington’s 11. SO, there is a little light. Maybe Fournette, Hyde and Yeldon can do something. Both teams are allowing 4.5 a rush. That’s just so pitiful I want to punch something. Moving on to rainbows. As much crap as the national media wants to throw at Jalen Ramsey and the secondary, they seem to overlook that when it comes to stopping the pass, no one is better. They are tied with Minnesota in only allowing 15. Washington is 18th in allowing 23. Dearest wide receivers, CATCH THE DANG BALL and you will win. They’re allowing a 66.8 completion percentage. Do your jobs and make that number so.

CATCH THE DANG BALL, JAGS

That’s the key to this game. While the Jaguars may want to keep the game plan conservative with Kessler, they ought to open it wide open, unless, or until he does bad. BAD, not mediocre. What have they got to lose, a play off spot? If it works, the fans are happy, they can keep him for next season as a security blanket or get a high trade partner for him. If it doesn’t, oh well. Do you hear me, Milanovich? Balls to the walls. For Washington to win, they need to run the ball. Johnson may know ten plays and Todd Wash has experience with him, plus he’s facing a damn good secondary. His best shot is at screens and shallow crossers since the edge rushing seems to have died this season along with tackling. I’m going to be at TIAA – I’m not hurt, no funeral to go to and no ER visit for puking. Knock on wood. SO, it better not rain and turn into a plodding run game. I didn’t get to the field to eat the grass, if I did, I’d say this was in the bag. If they lose, heads should roll.

Go Jags!

Cowboys (8-5) vs Colts (7-6)

You should never root for a divisional opponent to win, but dang I detest the Cowboys and since Jacksonville is out of the PO race, I hope Dallas loses. Three reasons: when Jerry Jones loses he looks like a South Park character. Secondly, every year the national media says this is the team to go a Super Bowl. Finally, they get so many unwarranted national TV games. Referee crew: carl cheffers ref crew Neither team looks all that healthy, it may be a wash, except, Andrew Luck has had a good season because this OL has done a great job protecting him. Quenton Nelson has a back issue and that could allow him to get run over. cowboys week 15 friday injury reportcolts week 15 friday injury Dak Prescott is too erratic for me to think he’s a QB I’d bet on to win a game. He throws a few elite passes a game to make people forget all the boneheaded ones. His passing charts can’t show those. They do show he’s thrown less TD’s than he’s played games. dak Prescott passing charts Meanwhile, Andrew Luck is throwing almost 2x times as many (Jags put a wrench in his record). andrew luck passing charts.png This game should be a good one. Dallas defense vs Indy offense. Jacksonville showed how it can be done, but the Cowboys don’t have the same talent. Remember, Jax also kept Mahones from throwing a TD. Indy and Dallas both have allowed the same number of passing TD’s – 19. That gives the advantage to Luck since he’s thrown more than their average and Prescott has thrown less. When it comes to air yards, there’s a .2 difference between them. Both teams allow a 97 passer rating, advantage Indy, again. So, when it comes to passing, the game is Indy’s to lose. Both teams have the same amount defensive sacks (35); however, when it comes to taking sacks, Prescott has gone down 48 times for a staggering 293 lost yards. As far as rushing defense, Indy has allowed 10 TD’s to Dallas’s seven. .2 yards also separate them for rushing yards per play. Overall, Dallas is better at stopping the run on all levels, but not by much. Which may not matter for Dallas since Indy doesn’t run a whole lot; however, Dallas does. Their offense is built off of it. Dallas has 11 to Indy’s 8 rushing TD’s. The bottom line is, the Colts are a better team. In order for Dallas to win, they will need their secondary to find a way to stop Luck and keep them from scoring because the boys lag far behind in that category. Indy is scoring one more TD a game than Dallas. That’s where their run game can help – keep Luck off the field. For Indy, the answer is to get after Dak. Sacking him shouldn’t be too difficult. If they can contain the edges, all the better because he’s better on the run than from the pocket. Obviously, Elliot is the weapon and they can only do so much, but flustering Prescott will force three and outs. Indy’s best defense is Luck throwing TDs. If Luck stays to form, they win. I’ll take his passing game over Dallas’s run game. Until next week…

GO JAGS!